Leverage needs a feed
Only takes settled by a price feed, on-chain data or a sports feed can unlock leverage. Takes a person settles stay spot.
How it works
Write a yes-or-no question, set a deadline and pick what settles it. It goes live on a bonding curve in seconds.
YES and NO trade on the curve, so the price is the crowd's odds. The creator earns 0.5% of every trade.
At $50K in volume a take moves to an order book and unlocks leverage on the odds, up to 10x.
Max leverage steps down as the deadline gets close, and every leveraged position closes an hour before the take settles.
The rules
Only takes settled by a price feed, on-chain data or a sports feed can unlock leverage. Takes a person settles stay spot.
A creator can trade their take on the curve, never with leverage. Takes about something one person controls stay spot.
Leveraged positions are marked on a 5 minute average of the odds, so one thin trade can't wipe anyone out.
Creators post a bond that comes back after a clean settlement. A bad question or a wrong settlement loses it.
Launch
Demo only. Posting adds your take to the list on this page and nowhere else.
Preview, priced live
A yes-or-no prediction market that anyone can post. YES and NO shares trade between 0¢ and $1, and the winning side pays $1 a share when the take settles.
The creator picks a source when posting: a price feed, on-chain data, a sports feed, or their own call with a 48 hour dispute window. Disputed takes go to a vote of bonded resolvers.
When a take passes $50K in volume and is settled by a data feed, it graduates to an order book and opens perps on its odds. Max leverage is 10x with more than a week left, 5x inside a week and 3x on the last day.
At settlement the odds jump straight to 0 or 100, faster than any liquidation can fill. Closing every leveraged position an hour early, at the averaged odds, means nobody holds leverage through that jump and the platform never carries bad debt.
0.5% of every trade on their take, for its whole life, plus their bond back after a clean settlement.
Not yet. This page is a working demo with sample takes, and nothing on it moves real money. Leverage can wipe out your margin, so only trade what you can afford to lose once it's live.